Friday, November 5, 2010

hybrid: bloomberg

Plug-in hybrid cars and battery electric vehicles could achieve up to 9 percent market penetration if gas prices rise high enough and battery costs come down significantly.Tesla's Model S Electric sedan

If the battery costs can be cut significantly and in combination with the gas prices, Bloomberg, the new Energy Finance forecasts that a maximum of 9% of the US auto sales could be the snap-in the case of hybrids and battery electric vehicle by the year 2020 by 22% in 2030.

Last week the JD Power for ease of reference, the forecast that the hybrids and combines plug-ins to take root only 7.3% by the year 2020, with the extensions which make up 1.8% of the market.

On the other hand, PRTM estimates that by 2020, plug-ins to achieve 9 and 11% market share, even if the hybrid vehicles to reach 20%.

My two cents

Several years ago JD Power predict that hybrids to reach a market share of more than 3% by the year 2010, the forecast proved to be very reliable, which, even if I am a forecast for a maximum of 10% or more but I think that hybrid and plug-in penetration should be in the top 10% and 20% with the push towards taking the lion's share of the hybrids – – I don't bet against the JD Power if the odds are offered in Vegas.

Source: GreenCarCongress


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